![]() Recreational Flyers & Modeler Community-Based Organizations.Critical Infrastructure & Public Venues.Certificated Remote Pilots including Commercial Operators.Legislation & Policies, Regulations & Guidance.Data & Research Subnav: Data & Research 1.Airport Safety Information Video Series.Passenger Facility Charge (PFC) Program.Airport Coronavirus Response Grant Program.General Aviation & Recreational Aircraft.Vintage & Experimental Aircraft Program.Aviation Safety Draft Documents Open for Comment.Estimated Incidence of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Illness and Hospitalization-United States, February-September 2020. ![]() Reese H, Iuliano AD, Patel NN, Garg S, Kim L, Silk BJ, Hall AJ, Fry A, Reed C. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.ĬOVID-19 Death Data and Resources. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.Ĭoronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) 2020 Interim Case Definition, Approved April 5, 2020. Ĭoronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) 2020 Interim Case Definition, Approved August 5, 2020. Originally published in JMIR Public Health and Surveillance (). ©Alexia Couture, A Danielle Iuliano, Howard H Chang, Neha N Patel, Matthew Gilmer, Molly Steele, Fiona P Havers, Michael Whitaker, Carrie Reed. Our novel approach to estimate hospitalizations for COVID-19 has potential to provide sustainable estimates for monitoring COVID-19 burden as well as a flexible framework leveraging surveillance data.īayesian COVID-19 COVID-NET SARS-CoV-2 United States data estimation extrapolation framework hierarchical hospital hospitalization model modeling monitoring novel prediction rate surveillance. Our monthly estimates by state showed variations in magnitudes of peak rates, number of peaks, and timing of peaks between states. The monthly hospitalization rate was highest in December (183.7 90% CrI 154.3-217.4). The age group with the highest cumulative incidence was those aged ≥85 years (5575.6 90% CrI 5066.4-6133.7). Cumulative incidence varied from 359 to 1856 per 100,000 between states. We estimated 3,583,100 (90% credible interval 3,250,500-3,945,400) hospitalizations for a cumulative incidence of 1093.9 (992.4-1204.6) hospitalizations per 100,000 population with COVID-19 in the United States from May 2020 through April 2021. We validated our method by checking the sensitivity of model estimates to covariate selection and model extrapolation as well as comparing our results to external data. We identified covariates from multiple data sources that varied by age, state, and month and performed covariate selection for each age group based on 2 methods, Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) and spike and slab selection methods. Hospitalization rates were calculated from patients hospitalized with a lab-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 test during or within 14 days before admission. We estimated monthly hospitalization rates for COVID-19 from May 2020 through April 2021 for the 50 states using surveillance data from the COVID-19-Associated Hospitalization Surveillance Network (COVID-NET) and a Bayesian hierarchical model for extrapolation. We aimed to provide a method leveraging surveillance data to create a long-term solution to estimate monthly rates of hospitalizations for COVID-19. Creating sustainable methods for estimating the burden of COVID-19 from established sentinel surveillance systems is becoming more important. Identifying and reporting every case from every facility in the United States may not be feasible in the long term. In the United States, COVID-19 is a nationally notifiable disease, meaning cases and hospitalizations are reported by states to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |